Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 12:15 PM, 224 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 193,294 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 164,561 - 223,190). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 12:15 PM | 2800 |
c(2.5% = 2534)
|
c(97.5% = 3047)
|
| 02 | 12:15 PM | 4509 |
c(2.5% = 4054)
|
c(97.5% = 4960)
|
| 03 | 12:15 PM | 2454 |
c(2.5% = 2045)
|
c(97.5% = 3075)
|
| 04 | 12:15 PM | 2444 |
c(2.5% = 1956)
|
c(97.5% = 3196)
|
| 05 | 12:15 PM | 6573 |
c(2.5% = 5802)
|
c(97.5% = 7316)
|
| 06 | 12:15 PM | 1683 |
c(2.5% = 1445)
|
c(97.5% = 2051)
|
| 07 | 12:15 PM | 1560 |
c(2.5% = 837)
|
c(97.5% = 2132)
|
| 08 | 12:15 PM | 6147 |
c(2.5% = 5428)
|
c(97.5% = 6757)
|
| 09 | 12:15 PM | 2903 |
c(2.5% = 2648)
|
c(97.5% = 3338)
|
| 10 | 12:15 PM | 3595 |
c(2.5% = 3080)
|
c(97.5% = 4476)
|
| 11 | 12:15 PM | 1544 |
c(2.5% = 1215)
|
c(97.5% = 2093)
|
| 12 | 12:15 PM | 2704 |
c(2.5% = 2263)
|
c(97.5% = 3448)
|
| 13 | 12:15 PM | 2420 |
c(2.5% = 1980)
|
c(97.5% = 3171)
|
| 14 | 12:15 PM | 1093 |
c(2.5% = 941)
|
c(97.5% = 1277)
|
| 15 | 12:15 PM | 3305 |
c(2.5% = 2909)
|
c(97.5% = 3588)
|
| 16 | 12:15 PM | 1283 |
c(2.5% = 961)
|
c(97.5% = 1712)
|
| 17 | 12:15 PM | 2976 |
c(2.5% = 2449)
|
c(97.5% = 3829)
|
| 18 | 12:15 PM | 2785 |
c(2.5% = 2364)
|
c(97.5% = 3073)
|
| 19 | 12:15 PM | 1175 |
c(2.5% = 764)
|
c(97.5% = 1564)
|
| 20 | 12:15 PM | 1218 |
c(2.5% = 905)
|
c(97.5% = 1513)
|
| 21 | 12:15 PM | 7088 |
c(2.5% = 5912)
|
c(97.5% = 7759)
|
| 22 | 12:15 PM | 3887 |
c(2.5% = 3539)
|
c(97.5% = 4611)
|
| 23 | 12:15 PM | 2252 |
c(2.5% = 1723)
|
c(97.5% = 2661)
|
| 24 | 12:15 PM | 1965 |
c(2.5% = 1577)
|
c(97.5% = 2324)
|
| 25 | 12:15 PM | 1835 |
c(2.5% = 1278)
|
c(97.5% = 2220)
|
| 26 | 12:15 PM | 2721 |
c(2.5% = 2283)
|
c(97.5% = 2920)
|
| 27 | 12:15 PM | 3639 |
c(2.5% = 2648)
|
c(97.5% = 4258)
|
| 28 | 12:15 PM | 1365 |
c(2.5% = 1029)
|
c(97.5% = 1859)
|
| 29 | 12:15 PM | 1413 |
c(2.5% = 1229)
|
c(97.5% = 1705)
|
| 30 | 12:15 PM | 2935 |
c(2.5% = 2697)
|
c(97.5% = 3328)
|
| 31 | 12:15 PM | 2473 |
c(2.5% = 2086)
|
c(97.5% = 2680)
|
| 32 | 12:15 PM | 2293 |
c(2.5% = 1731)
|
c(97.5% = 2987)
|
| 33 | 12:15 PM | 1862 |
c(2.5% = 1086)
|
c(97.5% = 2423)
|
| 34 | 12:15 PM | 5171 |
c(2.5% = 4494)
|
c(97.5% = 6189)
|
| 35 | 12:15 PM | 3464 |
c(2.5% = 2556)
|
c(97.5% = 4119)
|
| 36 | 12:15 PM | 4274 |
c(2.5% = 3696)
|
c(97.5% = 4994)
|
| 37 | 12:15 PM | 1461 |
c(2.5% = 1070)
|
c(97.5% = 1917)
|
| 38 | 12:15 PM | 2590 |
c(2.5% = 2308)
|
c(97.5% = 3025)
|
| 39 | 12:15 PM | 5218 |
c(2.5% = 4292)
|
c(97.5% = 5642)
|
| 40 | 12:15 PM | 5394 |
c(2.5% = 4357)
|
c(97.5% = 6478)
|
| 41 | 12:15 PM | 2013 |
c(2.5% = 1379)
|
c(97.5% = 2476)
|
| 42 | 12:15 PM | 2645 |
c(2.5% = 1893)
|
c(97.5% = 3337)
|
| 43 | 12:15 PM | 2023 |
c(2.5% = 1385)
|
c(97.5% = 2634)
|
| 44 | 12:15 PM | 1645 |
c(2.5% = 1317)
|
c(97.5% = 2137)
|
| 45 | 12:15 PM | 2325 |
c(2.5% = 1664)
|
c(97.5% = 2776)
|
| 46 | 12:15 PM | 3253 |
c(2.5% = 3041)
|
c(97.5% = 3815)
|
| 47 | 12:15 PM | 1020 |
c(2.5% = 822)
|
c(97.5% = 1220)
|
| 48 | 12:15 PM | 2402 |
c(2.5% = 1979)
|
c(97.5% = 2822)
|
| 49 | 12:15 PM | 3010 |
c(2.5% = 2443)
|
c(97.5% = 3834)
|
| 50 | 12:15 PM | 4238 |
c(2.5% = 3760)
|
c(97.5% = 4946)
|
| 51 | 12:15 PM | 2691 |
c(2.5% = 2229)
|
c(97.5% = 3497)
|
| 52 | 12:15 PM | 3322 |
c(2.5% = 2985)
|
c(97.5% = 3972)
|
| 53 | 12:15 PM | 2315 |
c(2.5% = 1657)
|
c(97.5% = 2763)
|
| 54 | 12:15 PM | 1643 |
c(2.5% = 1071)
|
c(97.5% = 2072)
|
| 55 | 12:15 PM | 2618 |
c(2.5% = 1863)
|
c(97.5% = 3218)
|
| 56 | 12:15 PM | 3872 |
c(2.5% = 2903)
|
c(97.5% = 4606)
|
| 57 | 12:15 PM | 3421 |
c(2.5% = 2599)
|
c(97.5% = 3950)
|
| 58 | 12:15 PM | 5705 |
c(2.5% = 4210)
|
c(97.5% = 6672)
|
| 59 | 12:15 PM | 2908 |
c(2.5% = 2497)
|
c(97.5% = 3566)
|
| 60 | 12:15 PM | 2299 |
c(2.5% = 1967)
|
c(97.5% = 2869)
|
| 61 | 12:15 PM | 3585 |
c(2.5% = 2898)
|
c(97.5% = 4425)
|
| 62 | 12:15 PM | 2466 |
c(2.5% = 1672)
|
c(97.5% = 3046)
|
| 63 | 12:15 PM | 3256 |
c(2.5% = 2754)
|
c(97.5% = 3687)
|
| 64 | 12:15 PM | 1797 |
c(2.5% = 1362)
|
c(97.5% = 2156)
|
| 65 | 12:15 PM | 2655 |
c(2.5% = 2126)
|
c(97.5% = 3082)
|
| 66 | 12:15 PM | 5696 |
c(2.5% = 4502)
|
c(97.5% = 6535)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
| 12:05 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 9:20 AM | 0803 | 123 |
| 9:22 AM | 0803 | 125 |
| 11:00 AM | 0209 | 104 |
| 7:22 AM | 0506 | 9 |
| 12:01 PM | 0101 | 96 |
| 12:01 PM | 0103 | 164 |
| 12:00 PM | 2125 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0107 | 69 |
| 12:01 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0114 | 128 |
| 12:01 PM | 0115 | 191 |
| 12:01 PM | 0117 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0119 | 166 |
| 12:15 PM | 1503 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0121 | 160 |
| 10:00 AM | 2702 | 65 |
| 12:15 PM | 4903 | 216 |
| 7:01 AM | 1511 | 17 |
| 12:02 PM | 0526 | 182 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions