Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 12:15 PM, 224 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 193,294 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 164,561 - 223,190). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 12:15 PM 2800 c(2.5% = 2534) c(97.5% = 3047)
02 12:15 PM 4509 c(2.5% = 4054) c(97.5% = 4960)
03 12:15 PM 2454 c(2.5% = 2045) c(97.5% = 3075)
04 12:15 PM 2444 c(2.5% = 1956) c(97.5% = 3196)
05 12:15 PM 6573 c(2.5% = 5802) c(97.5% = 7316)
06 12:15 PM 1683 c(2.5% = 1445) c(97.5% = 2051)
07 12:15 PM 1560 c(2.5% = 837) c(97.5% = 2132)
08 12:15 PM 6147 c(2.5% = 5428) c(97.5% = 6757)
09 12:15 PM 2903 c(2.5% = 2648) c(97.5% = 3338)
10 12:15 PM 3595 c(2.5% = 3080) c(97.5% = 4476)
11 12:15 PM 1544 c(2.5% = 1215) c(97.5% = 2093)
12 12:15 PM 2704 c(2.5% = 2263) c(97.5% = 3448)
13 12:15 PM 2420 c(2.5% = 1980) c(97.5% = 3171)
14 12:15 PM 1093 c(2.5% = 941) c(97.5% = 1277)
15 12:15 PM 3305 c(2.5% = 2909) c(97.5% = 3588)
16 12:15 PM 1283 c(2.5% = 961) c(97.5% = 1712)
17 12:15 PM 2976 c(2.5% = 2449) c(97.5% = 3829)
18 12:15 PM 2785 c(2.5% = 2364) c(97.5% = 3073)
19 12:15 PM 1175 c(2.5% = 764) c(97.5% = 1564)
20 12:15 PM 1218 c(2.5% = 905) c(97.5% = 1513)
21 12:15 PM 7088 c(2.5% = 5912) c(97.5% = 7759)
22 12:15 PM 3887 c(2.5% = 3539) c(97.5% = 4611)
23 12:15 PM 2252 c(2.5% = 1723) c(97.5% = 2661)
24 12:15 PM 1965 c(2.5% = 1577) c(97.5% = 2324)
25 12:15 PM 1835 c(2.5% = 1278) c(97.5% = 2220)
26 12:15 PM 2721 c(2.5% = 2283) c(97.5% = 2920)
27 12:15 PM 3639 c(2.5% = 2648) c(97.5% = 4258)
28 12:15 PM 1365 c(2.5% = 1029) c(97.5% = 1859)
29 12:15 PM 1413 c(2.5% = 1229) c(97.5% = 1705)
30 12:15 PM 2935 c(2.5% = 2697) c(97.5% = 3328)
31 12:15 PM 2473 c(2.5% = 2086) c(97.5% = 2680)
32 12:15 PM 2293 c(2.5% = 1731) c(97.5% = 2987)
33 12:15 PM 1862 c(2.5% = 1086) c(97.5% = 2423)
34 12:15 PM 5171 c(2.5% = 4494) c(97.5% = 6189)
35 12:15 PM 3464 c(2.5% = 2556) c(97.5% = 4119)
36 12:15 PM 4274 c(2.5% = 3696) c(97.5% = 4994)
37 12:15 PM 1461 c(2.5% = 1070) c(97.5% = 1917)
38 12:15 PM 2590 c(2.5% = 2308) c(97.5% = 3025)
39 12:15 PM 5218 c(2.5% = 4292) c(97.5% = 5642)
40 12:15 PM 5394 c(2.5% = 4357) c(97.5% = 6478)
41 12:15 PM 2013 c(2.5% = 1379) c(97.5% = 2476)
42 12:15 PM 2645 c(2.5% = 1893) c(97.5% = 3337)
43 12:15 PM 2023 c(2.5% = 1385) c(97.5% = 2634)
44 12:15 PM 1645 c(2.5% = 1317) c(97.5% = 2137)
45 12:15 PM 2325 c(2.5% = 1664) c(97.5% = 2776)
46 12:15 PM 3253 c(2.5% = 3041) c(97.5% = 3815)
47 12:15 PM 1020 c(2.5% = 822) c(97.5% = 1220)
48 12:15 PM 2402 c(2.5% = 1979) c(97.5% = 2822)
49 12:15 PM 3010 c(2.5% = 2443) c(97.5% = 3834)
50 12:15 PM 4238 c(2.5% = 3760) c(97.5% = 4946)
51 12:15 PM 2691 c(2.5% = 2229) c(97.5% = 3497)
52 12:15 PM 3322 c(2.5% = 2985) c(97.5% = 3972)
53 12:15 PM 2315 c(2.5% = 1657) c(97.5% = 2763)
54 12:15 PM 1643 c(2.5% = 1071) c(97.5% = 2072)
55 12:15 PM 2618 c(2.5% = 1863) c(97.5% = 3218)
56 12:15 PM 3872 c(2.5% = 2903) c(97.5% = 4606)
57 12:15 PM 3421 c(2.5% = 2599) c(97.5% = 3950)
58 12:15 PM 5705 c(2.5% = 4210) c(97.5% = 6672)
59 12:15 PM 2908 c(2.5% = 2497) c(97.5% = 3566)
60 12:15 PM 2299 c(2.5% = 1967) c(97.5% = 2869)
61 12:15 PM 3585 c(2.5% = 2898) c(97.5% = 4425)
62 12:15 PM 2466 c(2.5% = 1672) c(97.5% = 3046)
63 12:15 PM 3256 c(2.5% = 2754) c(97.5% = 3687)
64 12:15 PM 1797 c(2.5% = 1362) c(97.5% = 2156)
65 12:15 PM 2655 c(2.5% = 2126) c(97.5% = 3082)
66 12:15 PM 5696 c(2.5% = 4502) c(97.5% = 6535)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions